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Revealing ecological networks using Bayesian network inference algorithms

机译:使用贝叶斯网络推理算法揭示生态网络

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摘要

Understanding functional relationships within ecological networks can help reveal keys to ecosystem stability or fragility. Revealing these relationships is complicated by the difficulties of isolating variables or performing experimental manipulations within a natural ecosystem, and thus inferences are often made by matching models to observational data. Such models, however, require assumptions—or detailed measurements—of parameters such as birth and death rate, encounter frequency, territorial exclusion, and predation success. Here, we evaluate the use of a Bayesian network inference algorithm, which can reveal ecological networks based upon species and habitat abundance alone. We test the algorithm's performance and applicability on observational data of avian communities and habitat in the Peak District National Park, United Kingdom. The resulting networks correctly reveal known relationships among habitat types and known interspecific relationships. In addition, the networks produced novel insights into ecosystem structure and identified key species with high connectivity. Thus, Bayesian networks show potential for becoming a valuable tool in ecosystem analysis.Read More: http://www.esajournals.org/doi/abs/10.1890/09-0731.1
机译:了解生态网络内的功能关系可以帮助揭示生态系统稳定性或脆弱性的关键。由于很难在自然生态系统中隔离变量或执行实验操作,因此揭示这些关系变得很复杂,因此通常通过将模型与观测数据匹配来进行推断。但是,此类模型需要对参数(例如出生率和死亡率,遭遇频率,领土排除和捕食成功)进行假设(或详细测量)。在这里,我们评估了贝叶斯网络推断算法的使用,该算法可以揭示仅基于物种和栖息地丰度的生态网络。我们在英国峰区国家公园的鸟类群落和栖息地的观测数据上测试了该算法的性能和适用性。由此产生的网络正确地揭示了栖息地类型之间的已知关系以及已知的种间关系。此外,这些网络对生态系统结构产生了新颖的见解,并确定了具有高度连通性的关键物种。因此,贝叶斯网络显示出有潜力成为生态系统分析中的宝贵工具。了解更多:http://www.esajournals.org/doi/abs/10.1890/09-0731.1

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